{"id":14226,"date":"2017-10-05T10:17:48","date_gmt":"2017-10-05T02:17:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.oc.ntu.edu.tw\/oceng\/?p=14226"},"modified":"2023-08-02T05:02:58","modified_gmt":"2023-08-01T21:02:58","slug":"the-warm-blob-in-the-northeastern-pacific-the-bridge-leading-to-the-201516-el-nino","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.oc.ntu.edu.tw\/en\/research-highlights\/14226\/","title":{"rendered":"The warm blob in the northeastern Pacific-the bridge leading to the 2015\/16 El Ni\u00f1o"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!--:en--><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Late in 2013 the sea became anomalously warm in the Gulf of Alaska. Known as the &#8220;warm blob&#8221;, these unusual conditions in the eastern North Pacific persisted for two years. At its peak, sea surface temperatures were 2.5 degrees higher than average (3-4 degrees in some specific regions). Down in the tropical Pacific Ocean, meanwhile, in late 2014 an El Ni\u00f1o began to brew. It pooled warm water off the coast of South America, and resulted in one of the strongest El Ni\u00f1os on record by 2015. The phenomenon persisted into early 2016.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">So was the overlap of the warm blob and the 2015\/16 super El Ni\u00f1o just pure coincidence? Most researchers believed that these two events were independent phenomena. Both extreme events draw a lot of media\u2019s attention without clear conclusion (e.g., <a href=\"http:\/\/cliffmass.blogspot.tw\/2015\/09\/godzilla-el-nino-versus-blob-who-will.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Godzilla El Nino Versus The BLOB: Who Will Win?<\/a>). A new study led by Prof. Yu-heng Tseng at the Institute of Oceanography, National Taiwan University and his colleagues suggests that\u00a0both are part of a larger Pacific-wide ocean-atmosphere coupling and are indeed connected (see the highlight news on the <a href=\"http:\/\/environmentalresearchweb.org\/cws\/article\/news\/69828\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Environmental Research Web<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Their results showed a tight connection between sea surface temperature and atmospheric sea level pressure in the North Pacific. From early 2014 the North Pacific developed a temperature gradient, with negative sea surface temperature anomalies in the mid-latitude western Pacific, surrounded by positive anomalies in the eastern Pacific (extending from off California to the western Bering Sea), see Figure 1 below. Previous work has shown that such a pattern is known as the &#8220;Victoria Mode&#8221; and is forced by a basin-wide atmospheric ocean coupling. The coupling continues to evolve and intensify in 2015, finally leading to the development of 2015\/16 super El Ni\u00f1o.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Prof. Tseng\u2019s study shows that the warm blob was an intermediate step leading to the 2015\/16 El Ni\u00f1o. Such events, more commonly observed after 2000, favour the development of El Ni\u00f1o but don&#8217;t guarantee its occurrence, showing that the events are linked, but that one does not directly cause the other. The linkages are complicated and related to other processes, but this enhanced understanding should help to predict El Ni\u00f1o variability better in the future. Further information about the associated mechanisms and details can be found in Prof. Tseng\u2019s recent paper published in the Environmental Research Letters (<a href=\"http:\/\/iopscience.iop.org\/article\/10.1088\/1748-9326\/aa67c3\/meta\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tseng et al., 2017<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Tseng, Y.H., Ding, R. and Huang, X.-M. (2017), \u201cThe warm blob in the northeastern Pacific-the bridge leading to the 2015\/16 El Ni\u00f1o,\u201d Environ. Res. Lett., 12, 054019.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oc.ntu.edu.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/image001.jpg\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-14227\" title=\"image001\" src=\"https:\/\/www.oc.ntu.edu.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/image001.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"635\" height=\"800\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><!--:--><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Late in 2013 the sea became anomalously warm in the Gulf of Alaska. Known as the &#8220;warm blob&#8221;, these unusual conditions in the eastern North Pacific persisted for two years. At its peak, sea surface temperatures were 2.5 degrees higher than average (3-4 degrees in some specific regions). Down in the tropical Pacific Ocean, meanwhile, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":14227,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[119],"tags":[142],"class_list":["post-14226","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-research-highlights","tag-research-highlights-en"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The warm blob in the northeastern Pacific-the bridge leading to the 2015\/16 El Ni\u00f1o - Institute of Oceanography, NTU<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.oc.ntu.edu.tw\/en\/research-highlights\/14226\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The warm blob in the northeastern Pacific-the bridge leading to the 2015\/16 El Ni\u00f1o - Institute of Oceanography, NTU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Late in 2013 the sea became anomalously warm in the Gulf of Alaska. Known as the &#8220;warm blob&#8221;, these unusual conditions in the eastern North Pacific persisted for two years. At its peak, sea surface temperatures were 2.5 degrees higher than average (3-4 degrees in some specific regions). 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